Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000106 0.000112 0.000119 0.000126 0.000135 0.000143 0.000154
2024-12-22 0.000096 0.000105 0.000115 0.000126 0.000140 0.000155 0.000175
2024-12-29 0.000091 0.000102 0.000114 0.000128 0.000147 0.000169 0.000198
2025-01-05 0.000085 0.000096 0.000109 0.000125 0.000146 0.000173 0.000210
2025-01-12 0.000079 0.000090 0.000103 0.000121 0.000143 0.000173 0.000216
2025-01-19 0.000074 0.000085 0.000099 0.000117 0.000141 0.000173 0.000222
2025-01-26 0.000069 0.000080 0.000094 0.000112 0.000136 0.000170 0.000221
2025-02-02 0.000068 0.000079 0.000093 0.000112 0.000139 0.000177 0.000238
2025-02-09 0.000067 0.000079 0.000094 0.000115 0.000145 0.000188 0.000261
2025-02-16 0.000066 0.000078 0.000094 0.000117 0.000150 0.000199 0.000287
2025-02-23 0.000067 0.000080 0.000097 0.000123 0.000162 0.000222 0.000336
2025-03-02 0.000064 0.000077 0.000094 0.000120 0.000158 0.000220 0.000340
2025-03-09 0.000061 0.000074 0.000092 0.000117 0.000158 0.000223 0.000355
2025-03-16 0.000060 0.000073 0.000090 0.000117 0.000160 0.000232 0.000386
2025-03-23 0.000059 0.000072 0.000091 0.000119 0.000166 0.000249 0.000438
2025-03-30 0.000056 0.000070 0.000088 0.000117 0.000164 0.000250 0.000454
2025-04-06 0.000054 0.000067 0.000085 0.000113 0.000159 0.000245 0.000453
2025-04-13 0.000052 0.000064 0.000082 0.000109 0.000156 0.000242 0.000459
2025-04-20 0.000049 0.000061 0.000078 0.000105 0.000149 0.000233 0.000444
2025-04-27 0.000049 0.000061 0.000078 0.000105 0.000153 0.000243 0.000488
2025-05-04 0.000048 0.000061 0.000078 0.000107 0.000158 0.000260 0.000555
2025-05-11 0.000048 0.000061 0.000079 0.000109 0.000164 0.000277 0.000636
2025-05-18 0.000049 0.000062 0.000081 0.000115 0.000177 0.000315 0.000817